A winning record last week with another positive P/L, but painful to see Denver give up 10 points in less than two minutes before halftime to see their double digit lead slip away to Minnesota. I blame the B.B Boys for featuring this pick in the top plays of the week! Peyton did NOT do enough to manage the game to help my bet and turned the ball over carelessly in the 4th quarter.
As you can assume, I will not be selecting Denver this week in any picks. A bit more value in week five, so onto the picks.
Chicago Bears @ Kansas City Chiefs
2pts Back Chicago +10.0 pts @ 1.81 on the Exchange
The Bears could have their full offensive team on field for the first time since week 1 against Green Bay, although Alshon Jeffery remains an injury doubt. Getting 10 points is too much for a team that can control the ball well enough against a poorly performing secondary in KC. If you can get 10.5 by giving up some price value, it would be worth doing.
Washington Redskins @ Atlanta Falcons
2pts Back Washington +7.5 pts @ 1.85 on the Exchange
I have been silently watching the hype of the Atlanta Falcons build over the hot start of the season. The problem is from a personal perspective, they are not that strong. From an ELO and DVOA perspective they are overrated. This is a trap game for them with a strong defense coming to town with a strong running game. If they can keep the ball out of Matt Ryan's hands and force a few turnovers, they should be able to keep this game within a touchdown so backing Washington +7.5pts is the play.
Seattle Seahawks @ Cincinnati Bengals
1pts Back Seattle to win 2.46 on the Exchange
Homer pick warning. The Seattle offense has been anything but pathetic over the last four games. Their offense usually answers the bell for East Coast games. Cincinnati is on fire but again, have racked up victories against weaker teams. Seattle's defense is healthy and look for *Bam Bam* Cam and the Legion of Boom to have a huge game this week. Seattle with the win in a squeaker.